Saturday, November 12, 2016

United States "developers" how President three fires burning?

A property developer is elected United States President, Trump network red spirit all the way counter attack against the elites on behalf of Hillary Clinton, Black Swans are coming. Trump came to power the United States policy for a major adjustment, change the past United States route of elitism. Trump was not financial, IT and other United States mainstream businesses like cock wire for his counter attack.

United States return to the domestic economy, the global contraction, "real estate developer" how President three fires burned? Since the 2008 financial crisis, Obama bailing out Wall Street by the national finance, quantitative easing, dealing with the economic crisis, and benefit from the financial and IT's elite, and the common people (603883, unit) did not benefit from the technology and financial recovery, on the contrary, brought rich and poor differentiation. Trump blame Wall Street and the global outsourcing of the IT industry. President developers focused on the real economy and traditional industry, he advocated tax cuts and Government and welfare spending, infrastructure, launched various projects to stimulate the economy, to engage in trade protectionism, protecting United States interests of industry and labor, the fight against illegal immigration. Global concerns trump the hundred days of the new deal. United States inputs in military and security worldwide will be reduced and contract funds will focus on domestic economic development, economic dominance, achieving twice the current rate of economic growth. "United States police" tired coming home, the global security situation will become clearer, however, this will also help Asian countries to bridge the relationship to rebuild Asian economic and trade zone, peace and development will win the cold war mentality. However, do not think United States will gave up no matter what. United States global dominance as a superpower has four pillars: the first is the powerful military, and the second is high-tech, and the third is the dollar's status, IV is a strong Wall Street. Even Trump, in charge of United States and will not touch the four pillars, though he is hostile to Wall Street. He thinks Wall Street with taxpayer money to save himself, since the 2008 financial crisis, the Obama administration bailing out Wall Street and the quantitative easing policy was wrong, just make IT and financial elite benefits. Once he became President had to seek support from Wall Street, the two sides will eventually reach a compromise. United States investment can only strengthen not weaken in its military, but for the other countries providing military protection will become more stingy. This is characteristic of merchants, not capitalists. Sure is, United States elected a CEO, the CEO to make infrastructure investment to stimulate the economy, boost employment, reliance on investment-driven economic growth. Feeling is in learning the Chinese model, you want to know China's economic restructuring a consumer-driven, hope in the field of economic restructuring and scientific and technological innovation to test their skills and pursued the United States.

From consumption and towards investment-driven Trump hostile to Wall Street, loose monetary policy will soon be over, the Black Swan, a global financial markets nervous on stage, gold prices rise in risk aversion, but Trump victory speech was published, we found this Swan is not so black, rapid decline in risk aversion, Dow Jones Global commodities such as iron ore and copper, rose. Trump campaign the United States issues all boil down to China that China's closure left United States of manufacturing jobs. In fact, Chinese manufacturing in Southeast Asia, and exports contributing little to the growth of China's economy. Devaluation of the Trump blame China for manipulating its currency to gain competitive advantage, in fact, the past 10 years, have been in appreciation of the Yuan, began only after the revaluation depreciation, to maintain the stability of the Yuan, China consumes a lot of foreign exchange reserves. Trump amended election in a victory speech to some of the remarks. Future policy still faces many uncertainties, however, Trump big infrastructure investments, reconstruction United States highways, bridges, tunnels, airports, hospitals and schools, that is for sure, this is the developer's expertise. Benefit from large infrastructure projects is to let the people at the bottom, to create more employment opportunities, this is the United States neglected groups since the financial crisis.

United States economy relies on high-tech industry and consumer services may be changed. Driven by consumption of low growth and debt growth, Trump considered high-tech and not for the United States to create so many jobs, many job opportunities for traditional industries such as real estate, he argued for a return to manufacturing, development United States of energy. Future United States by providing more public investment, to stimulate the economy, and this can be considered a United States version of the real economy recovery plan. Trump policy may make United States back some economic policies in 2000 after the dot-com bubble burst, relying on real estate and infrastructure investment to stimulate economic growth. Different from the Obama administration's emphasis on high-tech and financial services, Trump policy could easily bring inflation, its strategy is to develop United States of petroleum and energy, using the global oil glut cycle pressing United States inflation. Therefore, the upward trend of the dollar may soon end in the future, this may reinforce the global asset-price inflation cycle, global commodities, stocks and real estate will be supported.

The implementation of these policies is likely to further strengthen the interest rate hike cycle, once the effective economic policies expected, the dollar may be medium to strong once the expectations may be a collapse in asset prices, the dollar. However, one thing is for sure, Trump return to trade protectionism, global economic growth is not dependent on the future trade, relying instead on infrastructure investment in developed and developing countries to drive through improvements in infrastructure to spur global economic growth. Exiting stimulus in China, and China's experience is global is to emulate and learn from. United States consumption and services-oriented economy, United States economic recovery had little effect on global demand for commodities, commodities dominated by demand from China, after the financial crisis, regulation increasingly restrictive, phase out commodity on Wall Street financial pricing. United States economic policy adjustment will influence global commodity prices over the next year, commodity and stock markets have lost 8 years of non-ferrous metals may be the return of the King.

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