Saturday, November 12, 2016

Trump team intimating claimed to 45% high tariffs on China

Judy Shelton, Trump economic adviser Friday hinted at, finds that China is manipulating its currency, he said Trump is a "word" person. Trang Pucheng early promise in his first day as President to declare China a currency manipulator, also threatened to 45% of high tariffs on Chinese imports.
Once a country a currency manipulator, United States to not only to the Government through the IMF imposed pressure to adjust its exchange rate policy, more likely by means of trade retaliation. Trump after the election could exacerbate the outflow of Chinese capital, thereby increasing medium-term currency pressure.
Tariff of 45%?! It received! At this time many small partners panic. But a careful look at, although the United States is China's largest export, but to the United States to trade exposures continue to shrink, according to Morgan Stanley estimates, even if that 45% of the punitive tariffs, China's total exports will fall by only 13%.undefined
United States a quarter of China's total exports rose from 21% to 17% five years ago, but contributed to China's trade surplus 43%.
undefined
2016 1 September statistics show, China the United States exports is the largest telecommunication equipment ($ 56 billion), Office equipment ($ 47 billion), electronic equipment ($ 33 billion), apparel ($ 24 billion) and furniture ($ 16 billion).
China to the United States most dependent industries are furniture, export 39% per cent of total furniture exports to the United States, followed by the metal ore and scrap metal (33%), footwear (33%), telecommunication and sound recording equipment (29%), handbags (26%).
undefined
If the United States raised tariffs on China
Due to high profits for exporters, China (5%), absorbed United States tariffs on limited capacity to shock. Tariff increase will be fully posted to China export commodity prices. If United States tariffs on China by the current up to 2.8%, 15%, 30%, 45% (see Republican debate in March: Edition.CNN.com/2016/03/10/politics/Republican-debate-transcript-full-text/), China the United States exports will be big hit, respectively, and 21%, and 72% ; But China's total exports of medium-term corresponding decline of the rate of increase is much narrower, respectively, and 4%, and 13%.
undefined

United States increased tariffs could not immediately
Trump before raising tariffs, the Government will first of all domestic and international communication on the matter and, after the Congress passed, and also through domestic long judicial review. In addition there is a series of trade disputes settlement mechanism in WTO and United States should give priority to select the WTO to settle trade disputes, a WTO member. So the United States is unlikely to be true in the short term more tightening of China's trade policies.

Coal price rise triggered coal mine wars: formerly occupied 50 million search home billions in shareholder dispute closure

Coal prices continue to rise, not only for the capital markets, "fly dance", also detonated nine nine shaft in jixi city in Heilongjiang mine right battle.

2014 when coal prices down, the mine at a discount of 50 million Yuan, it is difficult to find investors buying Consortium. Now, its value jumped to billions of Yuan. However, fight 3 shareholders of the mine, has yet to enjoy the dividends of coal prices, growing to feed or missed the best time to harvest them.

From legal point of view, an alleged loopholes in the stock transfer agreement on how to interpret, will determine the ultimate ownership of the right to mine.

Flawed deal raises competition for coal mine, located in the North of the Northeast's largest coal city of jixi city in Heilongjiang, Xin Cheng coal mine, under the jixi mining industry group. In 1999, the mine owners Su Zhiguo "investment" contractor engaged xincheng coal mine nine nine Wells, that the mine, which belongs to state-owned enterprises, was asked after reconstruction, Su Zhiguo completed the transformation of coal mine, and go through the relevant formalities.

In November 2014, due to financial difficulties with coal prices, equivalent to total 50 million yuan in Su Zhiguo decided to mine, absorption of Zhang sheng, Guo Jinhai stakes, and signed the agreement on the transfer of shares.

Reporters noted that the share transfer agreement agreed with the Sheng invested 17.5 million Yuan, Guo Jinhai invested 15 million Yuan, Su Zhiguo bought 35% shares and 30% shares respectively, but the money is not paid directly to Su Zhiguo, but on the transformation of inputs into the mine. Agreement also agreed, buy shares for two, simply perform some obligation, respectively, 9 million Yuan investment of 10 million Yuan. After treating the mine generates profits, two people with its share of the profits, paid to Su Zhiguo, arrived in top as shares of the transfer price.

Su Zhiguo said in an interview, very sloppy this agreement is signed, details are not clear, as appropriate, there are loopholes that misunderstanding happened. He acknowledged that because of lower coal prices and pressure to reform, he has on the transfer price of credit, payment concessions.

Su vulnerability, which is not agreed upon completion of the investment, if not, what to do with the dispute. Many years later, this issue, leading to tensions explode.

In fact, even if the introduction of two new investors and completed approximately 21 million yuan in investment, the mines also have been unable to normal production, small scale pilot production, did not produce a profit. This means that most of the shares transferred after two people, Su Zhiguo failed to get anything in return.

In a letter to Su Zhiguo Zhang, Guo Erren, Zhang, Guo Erren insists, because there is no profit, Su Zhiguo has no right to request them to pay the transfer of shares.

The other hand, according to the agreement, after the signing, 35%-owned mine right all by Charles Chang stresses winning charge. In the case of lack of profits, Su Zhiguo had neither of pecuniary gains, also mine right away to others.

On top of that, because of the poor management, mine workers ' wages, outstanding security deposits, industry management, material and so on. Default lead miners ' petition, aroused great concern in jixi City Government, continued under pressure, as ore Su Zhiguo had to foreign borrowing, managed to solve the problem of wage arrears.

On July 16, 2016 to Kuo Su Zhiguo Zhang Erren notice II fails to fulfill the main terms of the contract, request the cancellation of the share transfer agreement and recover the right to mine management. Zhang, Guo Erren subsequently to the Court on July 27, asks to cancel the agreement, liquidation of assets, Division of partnership property.

Su Zhiguo immediately defends the disarmament agreements is also required, but advocates, two persons shall be returned to the mine's operating assets and all of the rights involved, and the removal of obstacles. Su also pointed out that, two people belonging to different subjects, dispute is the subject of a different, incompatible with the common conditions of the plaintiff. It is reported that the case is still in Chengzihe District people's Court in jixi city.

Who's right? It is understood that related litigation materials, Zhang, Guo Erren believes that, in accordance with the agreement that they had paid a total of more than 21 million Yuan, exceeding the amounts stipulated in the agreement of 19 million Yuan, and advances for the Su Zhiguo, which comply fully with the agreement. In their view, Su asks to cancel the agreement's argument is not valid.

United States "developers" how President three fires burning?

A property developer is elected United States President, Trump network red spirit all the way counter attack against the elites on behalf of Hillary Clinton, Black Swans are coming. Trump came to power the United States policy for a major adjustment, change the past United States route of elitism. Trump was not financial, IT and other United States mainstream businesses like cock wire for his counter attack.

United States return to the domestic economy, the global contraction, "real estate developer" how President three fires burned? Since the 2008 financial crisis, Obama bailing out Wall Street by the national finance, quantitative easing, dealing with the economic crisis, and benefit from the financial and IT's elite, and the common people (603883, unit) did not benefit from the technology and financial recovery, on the contrary, brought rich and poor differentiation. Trump blame Wall Street and the global outsourcing of the IT industry. President developers focused on the real economy and traditional industry, he advocated tax cuts and Government and welfare spending, infrastructure, launched various projects to stimulate the economy, to engage in trade protectionism, protecting United States interests of industry and labor, the fight against illegal immigration. Global concerns trump the hundred days of the new deal. United States inputs in military and security worldwide will be reduced and contract funds will focus on domestic economic development, economic dominance, achieving twice the current rate of economic growth. "United States police" tired coming home, the global security situation will become clearer, however, this will also help Asian countries to bridge the relationship to rebuild Asian economic and trade zone, peace and development will win the cold war mentality. However, do not think United States will gave up no matter what. United States global dominance as a superpower has four pillars: the first is the powerful military, and the second is high-tech, and the third is the dollar's status, IV is a strong Wall Street. Even Trump, in charge of United States and will not touch the four pillars, though he is hostile to Wall Street. He thinks Wall Street with taxpayer money to save himself, since the 2008 financial crisis, the Obama administration bailing out Wall Street and the quantitative easing policy was wrong, just make IT and financial elite benefits. Once he became President had to seek support from Wall Street, the two sides will eventually reach a compromise. United States investment can only strengthen not weaken in its military, but for the other countries providing military protection will become more stingy. This is characteristic of merchants, not capitalists. Sure is, United States elected a CEO, the CEO to make infrastructure investment to stimulate the economy, boost employment, reliance on investment-driven economic growth. Feeling is in learning the Chinese model, you want to know China's economic restructuring a consumer-driven, hope in the field of economic restructuring and scientific and technological innovation to test their skills and pursued the United States.

From consumption and towards investment-driven Trump hostile to Wall Street, loose monetary policy will soon be over, the Black Swan, a global financial markets nervous on stage, gold prices rise in risk aversion, but Trump victory speech was published, we found this Swan is not so black, rapid decline in risk aversion, Dow Jones Global commodities such as iron ore and copper, rose. Trump campaign the United States issues all boil down to China that China's closure left United States of manufacturing jobs. In fact, Chinese manufacturing in Southeast Asia, and exports contributing little to the growth of China's economy. Devaluation of the Trump blame China for manipulating its currency to gain competitive advantage, in fact, the past 10 years, have been in appreciation of the Yuan, began only after the revaluation depreciation, to maintain the stability of the Yuan, China consumes a lot of foreign exchange reserves. Trump amended election in a victory speech to some of the remarks. Future policy still faces many uncertainties, however, Trump big infrastructure investments, reconstruction United States highways, bridges, tunnels, airports, hospitals and schools, that is for sure, this is the developer's expertise. Benefit from large infrastructure projects is to let the people at the bottom, to create more employment opportunities, this is the United States neglected groups since the financial crisis.

United States economy relies on high-tech industry and consumer services may be changed. Driven by consumption of low growth and debt growth, Trump considered high-tech and not for the United States to create so many jobs, many job opportunities for traditional industries such as real estate, he argued for a return to manufacturing, development United States of energy. Future United States by providing more public investment, to stimulate the economy, and this can be considered a United States version of the real economy recovery plan. Trump policy may make United States back some economic policies in 2000 after the dot-com bubble burst, relying on real estate and infrastructure investment to stimulate economic growth. Different from the Obama administration's emphasis on high-tech and financial services, Trump policy could easily bring inflation, its strategy is to develop United States of petroleum and energy, using the global oil glut cycle pressing United States inflation. Therefore, the upward trend of the dollar may soon end in the future, this may reinforce the global asset-price inflation cycle, global commodities, stocks and real estate will be supported.

The implementation of these policies is likely to further strengthen the interest rate hike cycle, once the effective economic policies expected, the dollar may be medium to strong once the expectations may be a collapse in asset prices, the dollar. However, one thing is for sure, Trump return to trade protectionism, global economic growth is not dependent on the future trade, relying instead on infrastructure investment in developed and developing countries to drive through improvements in infrastructure to spur global economic growth. Exiting stimulus in China, and China's experience is global is to emulate and learn from. United States consumption and services-oriented economy, United States economic recovery had little effect on global demand for commodities, commodities dominated by demand from China, after the financial crisis, regulation increasingly restrictive, phase out commodity on Wall Street financial pricing. United States economic policy adjustment will influence global commodity prices over the next year, commodity and stock markets have lost 8 years of non-ferrous metals may be the return of the King.

Friday, November 11, 2016

The 4th China "singles boom" more women take the initiative due to single

On November 11, was a normal day, was dragged into the season's team as "singles". It is said that he is "not forced to show their affection, there is no harm," "single dog"; others said that he was "one life" single. Statistics show that, by 2015, the single population in China reached 200 million, experts say, China's fourth single wave front hits!

More women active singles
According to the Ministry of Civil Affairs, the national population living alone increased from 6% in 1990 to 14.6% in 2013, increasingly large groups live in solitude.

Statistics show that there have been several single surge in mainland China. Is in for the first time in the 1950 of the 20th century, the first marriage law brought the country's surge in the divorce in the late 1970 of the 20th century, educated in order to return to have divorce, triggered a second wave of single appeared in the 1990 of the 20th century, the reform and opening up cause changes in traditional family values, third wave of single coming; until now, with the rapid economic development and promotion of feminist consciousness, fourth single wave gradually.

In 2010, the sixth population census, unmarried women aged 30 and above up to 2.47%, nearly twice times more than it was 10 years ago, of the initiative to be a single "single women" increased significantly.

Expert analysis, in women's economic independence, the spirit of independence today, the fourth single boomers clearly bears a truly reverse the curing of the responsibility.
Single boom has spawned a "single economy"
More importantly, as the initiative to be a single person increases, also led to a "single economy". As early as 2001, the Economist has appeared on the "single women economy" concept. "They are advertising, publishing, entertainment and media producers and consumers of products and services. Because celibacy and lucrative, they are ideal for customers. Compared with other sectors, they have more passion for spending and impulse, as long as enough smart, funny enough, they deal or no deal. ”

Analysis, one without the luxury single consumer 28.6%; 16% at least once a week to one bar, KTV, nightlife; 31.6% the maximum monthly cost for self entertainment or parties such as social spending, savings insurance only 5.4% for the future.
In addition to single apartments, high-quality singles dating sites and clubs on fire, emphasized the "living" and "risk" concept of commercial insurance, as well as education, pension core financial risks should be "want them to think" counterpart of the product.
Single boom behind what are the pitfalls?
Experts say that single also may lead to a series of questions. In 2014, China's population was 1.137%, belonging to lowest-low fertility, low fertility will not only result in reduced labor, relative decline in the size of the market.
In addition, the single boom is one of the causes of population aging and more serious. According to the National Bureau of the 2014 national economic and social development statistics bulletin, China's population aged 60 and above 60 reached 212 million, accounting for 15.5% of the total population, a figure equivalent to Germany, and France and the United Kingdom's total population. That figure continues to rise--

How other countries deal with the "single boom"?
Japan: allowance organization dating
However, this situation is not unique to China, since in the 1970 of the 20th century, Japan aged 25 to 30, 3 times more than double the number of single women, to improve the situation, Japan maternity benefits, the Government set aside transfers to assist local organizations matchmaking events.
Korea: the single high earners "single tax"
By 2014, Korea 14 consecutive years in industries with low fertility, Korea Government regulations at 20 million to 30 million won of unmarried workers, needed an extra 200,000 won, about 1100 Yuan in taxes, this is Korea media as the "single tax".

Korea is suffering from low birth rates and the rapid ageing of distress
Singapore: dating the Government pay
Singapore is the world's lowest birth rates in the country, Singapore Government public tender through enterprise planning special promotions, and speed dating successful men and women spending by the Government.
"Singles Wang" life can live very exciting!
More singles, "marriage," delay has become a worldwide trend, whether it is to enjoy being single, is also looking forward to take off, you only have a rational distinction just fine, after all, history tells us, "Wang single" life can be very exciting!

Kids in the Tomb

Room was full of woe, every heart is full of sorrow. A four year old child died. He is the only son of his mom and dad, their joy and hope for the future. His father and mother and two older daughters, the biggest one this year is confirmed. They are both cute boy, but the dead children are most distressed children, even though he is the only son of a small it? it was a disaster. Two sisters, young hearts have sorrow to the extreme; grief of the father can make her feel especially sad. Father's waist has been bent, and her mother was overwhelmed by this unprecedented tragedy. She was busy day and night care of the sick child, take care of him, hold him, hug him, and think he has been a part of her body. She can't imagine he was dead, was lying in a coffin, buried to the grave. She believed that God can't take the child from her. But it actually happened, and the true facts, so she is in severe pain, said:
"God does not know about it! his servants on Earth, some have no conscience; they just deal with things, scarcely listened to mothers prayers. ”
She's in pain instead of God. Emerged in her heart the dark thoughts-she thought about death, eternal death. She thinks people are dust in the dust, her life is over. The thought made her feel without relying on; her into the abyss of despair.
When her pain to the point when, can't even cry cry out. She didn't think she had a young daughter. Her husband, tears dripping onto her forehead, but she did not see him. She has been thinking about the dead child. Her entire life and existence is immersed in memories: memories of her children, recalling what he had told every childish Word.
Buried that day has finally arrived. Before this she had slept many nights not; but tomorrow when she is tired to the point, so I drifted off to sleep. Coffin was carried at this time to a quiet House. On the coffin lid is nailed there, for fear she heard hammering sounds.
She woke up, and immediately getting up, going to see the children. Her husband said with tears:
"We've put the nail in the coffin--must do things!"
"God is so cruel to me," she said out loud, "How could I be better?" She sobbed and cried.
The coffin was carried to the cemetery. The infinite grief of mothers sat with her two daughters. She looked at them, but her eyes have not seen them, because she has no family. Sad control her entire existence. Mourning hit her, as the sea pounding a lost the compass and the rudder of a boat. Buried that day, so in the past, followed by a long series of similarly monotonous and painful day. This sorrow a watery eyes and suffering eyes looked at her; she does not listen to their words of comfort. Indeed, they themselves were very sad, there are no more words to say it?
She no longer seems to know what sleep is. Who wants to let her body recover, rest her soul, who can be said to be her best friend. We advised her to stay in bed, she lay there motionless, as if asleep. One night, her husband listened to her breathing, convinced that she has been rest and comfort. So he'd rather the praying hands; so slowly he fell asleep in his sleep. He didn't notice she had got out of bed, put on clothes, and quietly walked out of the room. She went straight to her day and night with it--the Tomb--buried her child walk. She walked through the House's Garden, walk the fields – here is a path leads to the outside, she follow the path until you come to the church cemetery. Nobody saw her, she did not see anyone.
This is a beautiful, starry night. Air is still gentle--it was early September weather. She went into the church cemetery, until you come to a small grave close by. That the tomb was like a big flower, are scented. She sat down, facing grave head, her eyes as we can through dense soil layers, see beloved child. She can still vividly remember the child's smile: she should never forget that kind of look in the eyes of a child – even as he lay in a hospital bed while also revealed that look in her eyes. Every time she bent over, holding up his inability to lift when little hands, his eyes seemed to confide in her infinite mind. She sat next to his grave, as sitting in his cradle. But now she is constantly in tears. These tears from falling into the grave.
"Do you think your children there to go!" A voice beside her said. This is a loud and deep voice, straight into her heart. She looked up, saw standing next to a man. The man was wearing a baggy black, wearing a hat low on the head, but she can see the faces of hat. This is a solemn, but enough to make people trust faces. His eyes shot out the glow of youth.
"Where are my children?" She repeated this people. Reveal an urgent plea in her voice tone.
"Don't you dare follow me to?" The figure said. "I am the God of death!"
She nodded and agreed. She immediately felt the stars seemed to shoot out of the light of the full moon. All kinds of flowers on her grave. Soil, like a light curtain, slowly and gently parted. She sank, Ghost uses his black mourning clothes to cover her. This is the night, the night of death. She sinks deeper and deeper, than the Church keeper shovel can dig deep to get to places. The churchyard now seems to be covered in the roof over her head.
Mourning has opened; she appeared in a solemn Hall. To all sides of the Hall, a welcoming atmosphere. Is surrounded by a dark scene, but just then, she appeared in front of her children. She put her arms around him tightly, close to his heart. He smiled at her, one never had such a beautiful smile. She let out a scream, but no one can hear me, because that's when there was a loud and melodious music, suddenly close by and far, chaotically, like her around. Such a happy tune her ears have never heard. It came from the outside of the big black door curtain-the Hall and the curtain that separates great and eternal Kingdom.
"My dear mother! I was born and raised my mother!" She heard her children called.
This sounds so familiar and so affectionate. She kissed him in happiness again. Children, pointing to the black curtain.
"Impossible in the world such a beautiful! MOM, look! you look carefully it! this is happy!"
But her mother did not see anything. Children within the meaning of that area, in addition to the night outside, there's nothing. She used the world's eyes, see this personally called by God to go to what a child can see. She could only hear the music's tone of voice, but could not tell the words-she should believe in everything.
"MOM, now I can fly!" Child says, "I want to fly with many other happy children to God. I'm anxious to fly away, but when you cry, when when you were crying as they are now, there is no way I can leave you. How much I wanted to fly!: I can not fly away? my dear mother, you can come to me! "
"Oh, don't fly!, do not fly!" She said. "Stay a little longer. I want to see you once again, and kiss you again and hold you in my arms one time! "
Then she kissed him and hugged him tightly. With a voice calling her name--it is a voice of mourning. What is this mean?
"Do you hear me?" Children ask. "It was dad calling you. ”
After a while, another deep sigh came from them, like a child crying out groans.
"This is the sound of sisters!" Boy said. "MOM, you haven't forgotten them, right?"
Then she remembered that she stayed at home for the children. She was a terrorist. She to look ahead. There are many figures floating past, several of which she seems very familiar. They floated past the death of the Hall, drifting into the black curtain, then disappeared. Her husband, her daughter is in the middle of this group of ghosts? no, they cry, they sigh, is still coming from above: her dead children almost forget them.
"MOM, the Bell has been sounded in the sky!" Boy said. "My mother, the Sun to come out!"
At this moment there was a bright light to her. The child was missing, she was assigned to the air, surrounded by a cold. She looked up and found himself in the churchyard, son of the graveyard. When she dreams of when God to comfort her, and make her reason to shine. She knelt down, prayed saying:
"Oh my God! please forgive me once to stop an immortal soul flies away, once forgotten you left me on the responsibility of the living!"
She said these words, seemed to feel much lighter. The Sun is rising, a bird singing on her head, the church bells is calling for people to do morning prayers. She is surrounded by an atmosphere of sacred, she also had a sense of sacred heart! she met God, her responsibilities to her, hurried home and with a sense of longing. She bent down to her husband, with a warm, passionate kiss to wake him up. They talk about intimate and warm words. She now has become strong and gentle--like a housewife can do it. She now has the power of faith in a.
"The will of God is always the best!"
Her husband asked her: "where do you get from it--this quiet mood?"
She kissed him, and kissed her children.
"My children through the tombs, got it from God. ”

Thursday, November 10, 2016

Trump epilepsy more than true market Black Swan or the bleach

There are comments that, Trump entered the White House, after global markets jinghunfuding, should reassess his genus epilepsy more than true, us-Wall Street stocks soared in Europe and Asia. Fact sheet why is January revealed. But flooding, potential fried news continued market volatility. This article has some references.

Elected a pragmatic policy address formed the elite

Trump spooked global financial markets plunge in real time, but quickly pared Wall Street on election day by tumbling play to l. Reflecting market after a scare to reassess his campaign crazy madness, how much practice and provisional estimates he'll turn, flood capital, driven by market fish fry at the end of the Black Swan, or bleaching.

Why are markets so quickly face? Market volatility than there is no reason, at least three.

First, Trump earlier posture of a madman, is likely to be just campaign strategy of the election will have to face the reality. In his declaration of victory, it changed crazy style, but are frequently called for unity, and repair the social fracture and have added to Hillary Clinton complimented, courting democratic meaning is self-evident.

Second, elections Trump playing anti-establishment, anti-elitist, but he had no experience in politics or public, most of the Cabinet should be formed, the Republican party take its pick, the traditional elite, so in the future the traditional constraints of the elite, believe that policy won't be backsliding. Media has come from yesterday for his election platform or the traditional elite in the campaign, it is estimated that members of his Cabinet, such as former New York City Mayor zhuniyani had the opportunity as Justice Minister, former speaker of the House Newt Gingrich was seen as Secretary of State, dare, Finance Minister top from Goldman Sachs, the former senior Sam Chin, and so on.

Foreign exhibition of elastic material will not play

What's more, while the Republican-controlled House and Senate, but the Republican elite in wartime and trump bad selection, indicating he ran into quite a few. Whether it is policy formulation inhibiting implementation, Trump rely on these traditional elite, and opposition within the party elite co-operation, policies more difficult is a departure from the mainstream.

Third, the United States presidential power is great, but yitelangpu merchant character, speculation that he has consulted with foreign game space. Trang prior to Korea in the area of security or free ride and asked Japan to pay for defense spending, but he yesterday with Korea Park Geun-Hye, President phone, has reaffirmed the US-South Korea Alliance is still consolidating and defending Korea commitments with Japan Prime Minister Shinzo Abe also reiterated a call to strengthen the US-Japan relationship. This displays the selected Trump has shown flexibility.

Trump drifting unpredictable, resulting in heart bottomless. In the capital city over the next two months until Trump made the first-ever State of the Union address on January, show before its policies like, potential news continued volatility in the market, Hong Kong stocks have not been spared. (Source: hket)

Trump entered the White House to the Federal Reserve's rate hike plan call into question

There are comments that, Trump won the United States presidential election, global markets had found that the Federal Reserve will soon raise interest rates, then continue to slowly raise interest rates in the coming years the core idea, and also call into question. This article has some references.
Trump financial markets in shock the news of winning, the US dollar and stock market slump, gold and safe-haven sovereign debt has been rising, reflecting market worry about Trump's policies will lead to a long period of global uncertainty.

Market turmoil has led to the suspension of action of the Federal Reserve in the past, like in 2015, China stock market crash, and in June of this year United Kingdom back Ou Gong after market shocks.

Investors would like to see the Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton took office that she will maintain the status quo, more able to maintain stability at home and abroad.

Trump promised to reverse or renegotiation of international trade agreements, which could trigger a wave of protectionism, suspend the fledgling global economic recovery. His economic plan advocating massive tax cuts, many economic analysts estimate this will lead United States budget deficit rose sharply.

"This improves the chances of December the Federal Reserve won't raise interest rates," comments Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi said Trump won on Tuesday.

Trump victory casts doubt on the future of the Federal Reserve President Janet Yellen. Trump has accused the Fed of keeping interest rates low to help Obama, and suggested that may be advised after the expiration of his term in January 2018 replace Janet Yellen, which analysts have speculated whether Yeh will resign in advance.

Since Trump did not come up with details of the economic plan, which the Federal Reserve and the uncertain future interest rate path.

Trump has proposed giving States more federal funding for free reign in poor health care, but no more details. He also promised to cut personal and corporate tax rates, but some analysts questioned supported the plan's assumptions, as well as financial support for tax benefits.

Federal Budget Committee said this makes it difficult for them to estimate the Trump proposal, but estimates for the next 10 years will increase by $5.3 trillion federal debt.

Trump said his policies will drive a lot of business investment, creating 25 million jobs, so that the United States increase economic growth by about 1 time.

Trump said during a nomination in a speech to supporters, "we have a good economic plan, we will raise the economic growth rate 1 time and the United States as the world's most powerful economies. ”

Voters vote on election day when the United States Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Charles Evans said the Fed concerned about volatility in the markets, and fiscal policy will change after the election.

Evans said the Fed won't succumb to criticism, in accordance with its duty to promote full employment and price stability policies. "We need to remove short-term political pressures," he told reporters in New York.

Impact of protectionist policies in the initial Trump may not be entirely negative. Barry Eichengreen, an economist said earlier this year, while tariffs have ignited the risk of trade war and geopolitical tensions, but the initial effect may be to improve United States wages and inflation, which to some extent is the Federal Reserve's loose monetary policy has so far tried to achieve things.

Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi (Mark Zandi) team expects the full implementation of Trump in the areas of trade and immigration proposal could increase the inflation rate, eventually triggered the Federal Reserve rate hikes, and the recession, which some investors feared.

"His tax cuts could increase the budget deficit, and trade sanctions would disrupt global trade. This could lead to economic recession, "National Securities Chief market analyst Donald Selkin said in New York.

Huck, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia on October 13, said fed policy changes that may occur after the election will have to be monitored. United States unemployment rate below 5%, or large-scale fiscal stimulus will push inflation higher.

"If there is a policy that may have a negative effect, that we will have to deal with, we will have to respond," hack said. (Source: Reuters in Chinese)

Wednesday, November 9, 2016

Trump Hillary and completion of the televised debate late

Trump Hillary and completion of the televised debate late, want to eat something with energy, they go into a bakery, two found no money. Clinton hesitated for a moment, and then reached for a 3 when the shop assistant wasn't looking piece of cake into his pocket.
She whispered to Trump says: "look how smart I am, the owner did not see anything, and I don't even need to lie, I will fight you won the United States presidency! ”
Trump said: "in order to achieve the goal, by fraud and theft Act: is this your style? In fact, in honest ways can also achieve the same result. Look at me! "Trump the Baker says:" I am a Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, now I will be performing a magic show you, please can you help me handed me this piece of cake. "Shop owner was curious, as he immediately told them to give him a piece of cake. TrumpWolf, and requires another piece or swallow. Trump then asked the third piece of pastry, and down into the stomach. Owner some wonder at this time, he asked Trump what magic occurs when.
Trump replied: "it's time to witness the miracle, the 3 cakes in Clinton's pocket.