Sunday, November 13, 2016

Trump is not the biggest Black Swan of Europe more terrible bomb

There are comments that, Trump shaking lasted less than a day, the main market had already digested and grow, but equally in the global fight against the establishment, against globalization, the nativist tide off the European crisis in Italy, and France, and Germany, and consequences may be more serious. This article has some references.

American and British shock short populist tide in the world

Global frightened this year year, beleaguered United Kingdom exit and Trump win two Black Swans. United Kingdom referendum in favour of exit the global market turbulence, but the United Kingdom is not using the euro, exit program in years, so the market has rebounded less than a week. As for Trump, believed his election ravings were "says invincibility, incapable", the market fell sharply reversed to rise in a single day.

View Trump WINS with United Kingdom referendum exit, there are similar to global trends. Trump is the electoral vote system to beat the traditional elite Hillary, but widely supported by non-city residents, reflecting the world filled the anti-establishment, anti-elitist, anti-globalisation, and nativist looked up.

Trump and Hillary are rotten apples, but on the other hand, non-voters in big cities such as the so-called "Rust Belt" manufacturing States people hate Hillary, because she represents the establishment, the traditional elite, and globalization. Global fixed-loss of manufacturing jobs to foreign countries, middle-class income stagnation in; and since the financial tsunami, the Government using public money to save the financial giant enterprises, economic recovery has been achieved mostly by the traditional elite, powerful monopolies. Trump's populist, anti-immigration, protectionism, and give voters a hint of dapodali hopes.

United Kingdom June off Ou Gong cast similar society of refugees home and anti-elitism, think they are off the ground, it supports exit through the ballot box.

Dutch election crisis between France and Germany continue to

Worth noting is that these global trends and not restricted to the United States and Britain, waves rolling test will come, eye on Europe. Fastest coming 4th of Italy constitutional referendum, ruogong voted to reject, is likely to lead to early elections, holding a nativist, anti-immigrant, anti-formed Eurosceptic political parties rise to call five star movement may play.

Next is next March Netherlands parliamentary election, arguing that took off in Europe, "Islamization" referendum of the far-right freedom party, could win the one-fifth seats to form a coalition Government with other political parties. Immediately to be April France presidential election, far-right national front has held off Ou Gong said power would vote. And next fall's Germany parliamentary elections, rise right in local elections in September this year, as anti-immigrant party Germany select the party is ready for it.

These are the key euro-zone countries, towards the exit road, impact on the eurozone, the EU is far from United Kingdom, on the global financial and economic shocks, also threatens to go beyond is considered false epilepsy than true Trump when the United States President.

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